PD-02 Forecasts of the Vietnamese socio-macroeconomy in the period of 2016-2020
The forecasts show that in the period of 2016-2020, the average annual economic growth of Vietnam is unlikely to exceed 6% due to the lack of improvement in the dynamics and quality of growth.
The growth rate of investment may exceed 6% (at constant prices). Credit growth may be around 12-21% per year, depending on the perspective of the monetary policy (inflation targeting) and macroeconomic conditions. The annual rise of 12 to 21% is sufficient to maintain inflation within the target of 6%, regardless of different macroeconomic conditions.
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